Horse Racing Betting Systems, Strategies And Tips For National Hunt Jumps Racing And Jumping Ability
Jumping ability.
A key factor universally accepted as extremely important in picking a National Hunt winner is jumping ability.
The betting professionals attending race meets are obviously at a big advantage when it comes to assessing jumping ability. They follow a different race meet most days and know all the contenders inside out.
But where can novice punters without this degree of time and commitment expect to get the information they require?
Post-race commentary
Outstanding, as always, the horse racing betting resource that is the Racing Post carries a post-race commentary on all individual race horses previous performances.
If you go through the RP betting site and click on your chosen jumps race and then the race horse of interest, you will see all the race horses previous recorded races via a link with Raceform Interactive.
From there you are able to click through to view the comments made on not only the race horse selected but all the other runners performances in this particular race.
In terms of assessing a race horses jumping ability, comments will be printed in the commentary with reference to :-
• “jumped badly”
• “fences were hit”
• “mistakes made at fences”
Basically, any reference to the way the horse jumped during the race makes it a suspect jumper.
Similarly when a comment simply states “jumped well” then this is particularly noteworthy. An absence of comments which refer to hitting fences is also a good sign.
You may also find reference to the nature of the racecourse of use in determining jumping ability.
Where the fences are declared as
• “stiff”
• “severe”
• “testing”
Then if the horse has put in a decent run it is much more worthy of note than a horse that puts in a decent run at an easy track.
Form Line
Probably the most important indicator of jumping ability is the reference to the form line that appears on all racecards after the race horses name. It will appear in a pop up box if you hover over the horses name on Racing Post betting site.
From this you will be able to glean whether a horse has
• Unseated its rider (UR)
• Fallen (F)
• Pulled up (PU)
at one of the fences.
If this has occurred at 2 or more of the last 6 outings it does infer that the horse has a serious problem with jumping at this particular moment and is a poor selection unless significantly dropped in class.
Handicap Hurdles
Handicap Hurdles are recognized as particularly poor horse race betting vehicles to attempt to find a final winning selection.
When analyzing the UK horse racing database records it seems that the winners in these races are simply spread across all weights and all starting prices.
Why is this?
The obstacles in Handicap Hurdles are at least a foot lower, significantly easier and more forgiving than in chases.
In chases it is generally accepted that a horse has to have some degree of natural jumping ability, speed and stamina, whereas in hurdles it can be seen that very average horses can regularly be trained to a high enough level to be able to just about keep up with the pace and put in a reasonable show.
If we add handicapping weights into the mix, then it results in a lot of even races with almost any race horse in the field being capable of passing the winning line 1st.
In most race course guides, Handicap Hurdles are referred to as the worst races for favourite betting and the most difficult to make money from jumps horse racing betting in general.
Davies Mike is a Horse Racing Expert, LSE Day trader, and a Betfair Trader and Advisor. For a free demonstration of scalping the Betfair racing markets, and advanced Tips and Betfair technical training.For More Horse Racing Exchange Betting , Horse Racing Systems and Guaranteed Profitable Betfair Trading Tips, Bet Angel Betting Software Tips .
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