Sports Gambling: Do Not Pay Any Person (a Tout) For Picks
If you are new to sports gambling you may not know what a tout is. After researching, I found this to be the best definition: "A tout is someone who sells picks. The connotation is of someone who has no ability to pick winners but sells that ability anyway." A tout is someone who:
(1) claims to have inside information;
(2) claims to have some record that is outlandish (69 wins and 1 loss in last 70 picks;
(3) charges a fee to you for his "great" picks. If you have ever purchased picks from a "tout" you know the feeling of being scammed. I'll tell you why YOU SHOULD NEVER PAY MONEY FOR ANOTHER PERSON'S PICKS:
(1) If this person's picks are so good, why does he have to sell his pick to make money? I'll tell you why, because you have to hit at 53% to make money at sports gambling (please see our article: Importance of 52.38%), but If he charges you $25.00 per pick, then he will win 100% of the time. The result of the game doesn't matter to him, the sale to you is what matters.
(2) A Tout is a shady person. If you see enough advertisements of Touts (see internet and magazines) you will find words like this "Game of the Day"; "Game of the Week"; "Game of the Month"; "Game of the Year"; "10 star premium play"; "Gold Club Play of the Year"; "Insider's Play of the Decade"; and the list goes on and on and on. Here is the true story: Say its Sunday and a Tout has fifty clients, and Dallas is playing Pittsburgh. The Tout will give 25 clients Dallas as his Gold Star Play of the Month and 25 clients Pittsburgh as his 10 star premium play. Why? The answer is simple. If he gives all 50 clients Dallas and Dallas loses then he has 50 upset clients, but if he gives 25 clients Dallas and Dallas loses then he only has 25 lost clients.
(3) If you read the article on the percentage you must hit in order to make money at sports gambling you know you basically need to be correct 53% of the time to start making money (See Importance of 52.38% by William R. Admin). The reason is simple....You pay "juice" to the book for the opportunity to bet with them. Or stated another way, you pay the book a fee so they can make money. Now if you have to pay someone $25.00 per pick and you are playing $100.00 per play, instead of wagering $100.00 to win $90.91, you are wagering $125.00 to win $90.91. So instead of paying "-110" to make your wager, you will be paying "-137" (to figure out the actual line you are paying take the amount wagered divided by the amount won multiplied by -100 [example: $100/90.91=1.1; 1.1 times 100= -110 -- or $125/90.91=1.37; 1.37 times -100 = -137]. Another way to look at juice (the -110) is that for every $100 you wager you give the book $10.00 if you win. But if you are buying picks you NOW are paying juice of $35.00 (assuming $25.00 per pick). Further assuming you pay $25.00 per pick, you must hit at a much higher rate than 53% to start making money. Essentially if you are paying $25.00 per pick you will have to hit at 66% before you will start to make money. There are some sites that offer "Only Pay if you win." If you are fortunate enough to pay these guys $25.00 per pick then you will have to nail an impressive 61% of your picks. Remember if you pay no-body, all you need to do is nail 53% of your picks to start making money.
In sum, it makes absolutely no sense to spend your money on another person's picks. Usually, you know as much about the sport you are wagering on compared to the person you are paying your money to who provides you with a guess. Take your money and bet it, don't waste it giving some jackal money for a wasted pick. If you want to learn how to handicap a football game please see our article (How to Handicap an NFL Football game by William R. Admin)
